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Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts: Spread Analysis and Pick Prediction
Posted By Mike Pickett On November 26, 2013 @ 11:17 pm In Colts News | No Comments
The Indianapolis Colts  have abused their divisional rivals from Tennessee in recent years, winning nine of the last 10 games in the series straight-up and going 6-3-1 against the spread in the process.
Three weeks after rallying to beat Tennessee again, Indy now hosts the Titans  this Sunday, wary of Tennessee’s recent string of ATS road success.
Point spread: Colts opened as 7-point favorites; the total was 44.5. (Line updates and matchup report) 
Odds Shark computer prediction: 21.8-21.7 Titans
Why the Titans can cover the spread
Tennessee is only 5-6, but that puts the Titans in a six-way tie for the second AFC Wild Card spot. So the Titans aren’t dead yet. Sunday they stayed alive with a 23-19 victory at Oakland , getting the winning score on a Ryan Fitzpatrick TD pass with 10 seconds left.
Tennessee ranks 17th in total offense and 11th in total defense and has out-gained and out-rushed three of its last four opponents.
The Titans have also covered the spread in five straight road games.
Why the Colts can cover the spread
Indy lost badly at Arizona  on Sunday, but the Colts have shown a great ability recently to bounce back. The Colts still haven’t lost back-to-back games with Andrew Luck  at quarterback, going 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS following a defeat over the last season-plus.
The Colts been falling behind in the first half in recent weeks, but they’ve also rallied twice in that span for victories. And they are tough within the AFC South, rolling to a 7-1 ATS mark in eight recent divisional contests.
Based in part upon Indy’s performances of the past couple of weeks, the Odds Shark computer is predicting Tennessee to upset the Colts Sunday in a game that stays under its total. And the way the Colts have been playing recently, at least in first halves of games, that prediction doesn’t seem unrealistic.
Take the points with the road dogs.
Read more Indianapolis Colts  news on BleacherReport.com
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URLs in this post:
 Indianapolis Colts: http://bleacherreport.com/indianapolis-colts
 Titans: http://bleacherreport.com/tennessee-titans
 (Line updates and matchup report): http://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/tennessee-indianapolis-odds-december-1-2013-629183
 Oakland: http://bleacherreport.com/oakland-raiders
 Arizona: http://bleacherreport.com/arizona-cardinals
 Andrew Luck: http://bleacherreport.com/andrew-luck
 Odds Shark: http://www.oddsshark.com/
 Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/oddsshark
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