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Packers vs. Colts: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Posted By Pete Schauer On October 5, 2012 @ 11:02 am In Colts News | No Comments

After a one-point victory over the New Orleans Saints [1] in Week 4 that saw quarterback Aaron Rodgers [2] go off for four touchdown passes, the Green Bay Packers [3] (2-2) get another favorable matchup in Week 5 at the Indianapolis Colts [4] (1-2).

The Colts come into this one well-rested after a bye week but they’ll need to muster up all they can against an explosive Packers’ offense.

We’ve provided you with complete game information, including fantasy analysis, spread information and predictions:

 

Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis

When: Sunday, Oct. 7 at 1 p.m. ET

Watch: Fox

 

Spread: Packers -7 (Bovada)

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers’ offense looked like their old selves in Week 4 against the Saints, with Rodgers hurling four touchdown passes and the offense amassing 421 total yards.

Now that the offense is back on track, I like Green Bay to cover the seven-point spread against a weak Colts’ defense.

Though the Packers have found themselves in some close games this season, I think the Pack wins this one by double digits.

Take the Packers.

 

Over/Under: 48 (Bovada)

You’ve got to take the over in this matchup.

Green Bay can put points up in bunches and the Colts too have shown they can find the end zone, with rookie QB Andrew Luck leading the charge.

If you need more convincing, the total has gone over in 11 of Green Bay’s last 15 games and over in four of Indianapolis’ five last games against the Packers, according to Bovada.

Rodgers against the Colts’ D? I’ll take the over, please.

 

Key Injuries: (via CBS Sports [5])

GB WR Greg Jennings—GROIN—OUT

GB DT Ryan Pickett—SHOULDER—QST

GB S M.D. Jennings—NECK—PRB

 

IND RB Mewelde Moore—ANKLE—QST

IND TE Coby Fleener—HEAD—PRB

IND CB Vontae Davis—ANKLE—QST

 

Big Fantasy Players

Aaron Rodgers

Who else? The guy who threw for more than 300 yards and four touchdowns in Week 4.

Rodgers has a sweet matchup this week in the Colts D, which allowed 300-plus yards and two touchdowns to Jay Cutler [6] in Week 1.

ESPN fantasy football guru Matthew Berry [7] ranks Rodgers as the No. 1 fantasy QB for Week 5 and he won’t get any argument from me.

I think we’ll see the Rodgers of old against a shaky Colts’ secondary on Sunday.

 

Reggie Wayne

It’s no surprise that Reggie Wayne is Andrew Luck’s go-to WR, as he’s been targeted 13 times more than the next closest Colts’ wideout.

Wayne has been productive for fantasy owners thus far, catching at least six passes for 71 yards in all three games this season, highlighted by a Week 1 performance that saw him haul in nine catches for 135 yards.

The Green Bay D ranks No. 6 in passing yardage allowed, but with this one probably being a blowout, there’s definitely an opportunity for some garbage fantasy points towards the end of the game.

The Packers yielded a bunch of passing yardage to the Saints last week, so that’s something on your side if you’re a Wayne owner, right?

 

Keys to a Packers Win: Dominate the Aerial Attack

Rodgers and the Packers’ offense have a deadly passing attack and it needs to be on display in Week 5 against the Colts’ secondary.

Green Bay found its rhythm against New Orleans last weekend after a poor performance against the Seattle Seahawks [8] in Week 3 and has a great opportunity to exploit a weak defense on Sunday.

The Colts have yet to encounter a high-powered offense like that of Green Bay and you can expect Rodgers to have a field day, even without WR Greg Jennings.

 

Keys to a Colts Win: No Turnovers

It sounds pretty simple, but it’s going to be extremely difficult for the Colts.

Indianapolis is averaging two turnovers per game in 2012, and against a tough defense, Luck and the Colts must take care of the football and keep Green Bay’s offense off the field for this matchup to even be close. 

The Packers’ D knows how to get after quarterbacks, and if Luck forces some errant throws on Sunday, his Colts are in for a long day.

 

Prediction: Packers 31, Colts 17

Aaron Rodgers will have a big day in Indy, throwing for 300-plus yards and three touchdowns while Green Bay’s D pressures rookie QB Andrew Luck to make some bad decisions.

All GB in this one.

Follow me on Twitter: Follow @Pete_Schauer [9]

Read more Indianapolis Colts [4] news on BleacherReport.com


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URLs in this post:

[1] New Orleans Saints: http://bleacherreport.com/new-orleans-saints

[2] Aaron Rodgers: http://bleacherreport.com/aaron-rodgers

[3] Green Bay Packers: http://bleacherreport.com/green-bay-packers

[4] Indianapolis Colts: http://bleacherreport.com/indianapolis-colts

[5] CBS Sports: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/injuries

[6] Jay Cutler: http://bleacherreport.com/jay-cutler

[7] Matthew Berry: http://sports.espn.go.com/fantasy/football/ffl/story?page=12ranksWeek5QB

[8] Seattle Seahawks: http://bleacherreport.com/seattle-seahawks

[9] Follow @Pete_Schauer: https://twitter.com/Pete_Schauer

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